Predictors of Malaria Incidence in Rural Eastern Indonesia

Abstract

In Indonesia, the largest number of malaria cases was contributed to by Eastern Indonesia. The study aimed
to analyze the predictors of malaria incidence in rural Eastern Indonesia. This study analyzes the 2018
Indonesia Basic Health Survey data. In the final stage binary logistic regression was used to determine
the incidence of malaria incidence in 86,382 respondents. Variables analyzed included malaria incidence,
regional/province, age, gender, educational level, work type, marital status, wealth status, and health
insurance. The analysis found that people who lived in rural Maluku and rural North Maluku had a lower
risk of experiencing malaria than those who lived in rural areas of East Nusa Tenggara. People in rural
West Papua and rural Papua have a higher risk than those who live in rural East Nusa Tenggara. Men were
1.107 times more likely than women to have malaria incidence.People with primary school education were
1.237 times more likely to develop malaria than those without education. People with a college education
were 1.440 times more likely to develop malaria than those without education. People who have a wealth of
poorer status are 0.804 times more likely to have malaria than those who are poorest. People who have the
richest wealth status are 0.851 times more likely to have malaria than those who are the poorest. There were
4 variables that have proven to be significant as predictors of incidence in rural Eastern Indonesia, namely
regional/province, gender, education, and wealth.